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Shipping disruption intelligence

Know the odds.
Before the disruption.

Clarisig delivers calibrated probability scores for maritime disruption events — continuously monitored, accuracy verified weekly. Built for logistics, trading, and risk teams who need a number they can act on.

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Live predictions — shipping LIVE
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Continuously monitored · Brier scored weekly Full report →
What Clarisig delivers

Not a sentiment score. Not a news feed.
A calibrated probability with a track record.

01 / Signal
Live maritime intelligence
Global news and vessel tracking data continuously monitored across 14 key maritime chokepoints and ports. Each signal classified by severity, direction, and location using our proprietary extraction engine.
02 / Score
Calibrated probabilities
Signals are weighted by severity and recency, applied against researched domain base rates. Output is a probability you can integrate directly into risk models — not a black-box index.
03 / Verify
Public accuracy record
Every prediction is logged before the event resolves. Outcomes are verified weekly and Brier scores published publicly. The track record is the product.

Why not just
read the news?

News tells you what happened. Clarisig tells you the probability something will happen — calibrated against how often similar signals have preceded real disruptions.

No competitor publishes a verified Brier score track record. That's the moat. After 12 months of logged predictions, the accuracy history becomes an asset no new entrant can replicate quickly.

  • Calibrated probability — not raw sentiment
  • Confidence bands show when to trust the score
  • Weekly resolution cycle builds verified track record
  • API-first — integrates into your existing systems
  • Shipping vertical now — energy and commodities next
Feature
Clarisig
Others
Calibrated probability output
✓
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Verified accuracy history
✓
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Confidence bands
✓
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API-first delivery
✓
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Domain-specific signals
✓
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Brier score benchmarking
✓
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Who uses Clarisig

Built for teams who make
decisions under uncertainty.

Logistics & freight
Operations & risk managers
Know the probability of disruption at key chokepoints before booking cargo routes. Feed scores into operational dashboards to trigger contingency planning early.
Trading & commodities
Risk analysts & traders
Maritime disruption moves commodity prices. Access calibrated probability signals before events materialise — not after they've already moved the market.
Insurance & underwriting
Underwriters & actuaries
Price marine cargo risk with a data signal that has a verifiable accuracy track record — not analyst opinion or raw news sentiment.
What API access gives you

The accuracy page shows you the scores. The API lets you use them — programmatically, in real time, integrated into your own systems.

Programmatic integration
Pull any score directly into your risk dashboard, route planning software, or automated decision flow. Set threshold alerts — if Hormuz exceeds 60%, trigger your contingency workflow automatically.
Score history & trend data
See how a probability moved over the week — not just the current number. A score jumping from 15% to 97% in 48 hours tells a different story than one that held steady. Trend velocity is often more valuable than the score itself.
Full signal feed
Access every classified signal driving each score — headline, severity, direction, confidence. Build your own models on top of our signal data. The accuracy page shows one signal per location. The API gives you everything.
Real-time push via webhooks
Register a webhook URL and receive an immediate notification when any score moves significantly. No polling required. Know about a Suez escalation the moment our model detects it — not when someone checks the page.
Correlated risk across a voyage
A cargo route through the Red Sea touches Bab-el-Mandeb, Suez, and the English Channel. Query all three simultaneously and build a composite voyage risk score in your own system.
Historical resolved dataset
As predictions resolve weekly, the verified outcome dataset grows. Backtest your own risk models against a dataset with documented accuracy — giving you something no raw news feed can provide.

Ready to integrate
disruption intelligence?

Clarisig is in beta. We're onboarding a small number of design partners — logistics and freight operators who want early access in exchange for feedback. Contact us to discuss access and pricing.

Request API access Book a demo call View accuracy report →

All probabilities are generated by an automated signal-weighted model and provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. © 2026 Clarisig · hello@clarisig.com